0x51Bc96bC2ff31e6BDEe93962Ee77bE66D1428946-1720519588895
0x51bc96bc2ff31e6bdee93962ee77be66d1428946
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $9.6k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $149.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? · No | 0.951 | 0.966 | $71.79 | +$1.08 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-50 House seat? · No | 0.950 | 0.969 | $47.63 | +$0.91 |
| Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.760 | $30.57 | −$6.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$180.00at 0.550Celtics vs. Thunder
- +$138.00at 0.310Hawks vs. Knicks
- +$76.00at 0.620Dolphins vs. Packers
- +$68.00at 0.660Suns vs. Heat
- +$62.00at 0.690Knicks vs. Raptors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 10:36 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.972 | $40.05 |
| 08-12 12:12 | Solana Up or Down on August 14? | BUY | 0.5 | $701.00 |
| 03-06 06:49 | Knicks vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.39 | $156.00 |
| 03-04 11:46 | Cavaliers vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 02-20 10:06 | Grizzlies vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 01-13 10:39 | Grizzlies vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.44 | $352.00 |
| 01-05 10:24 | Celtics vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.55 | $220.00 |
| 12-13 10:57 | Wizards vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.92 | $368.00 |
| 12-10 12:12 | Hawks vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.3099989968 | $62.00 |
| 12-09 15:54 | Knicks vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.69 | $138.00 |
| 12-07 11:33 | Suns vs. Heat | BUY | 0.66 | $132.00 |
| 12-05 10:17 | Kings vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.39 | $78.00 |
| 12-02 14:38 | Nets vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.73 | $146.00 |
| 11-29 07:51 | Pelicans vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.19 | $38.00 |
| 11-26 08:18 | Dolphins vs. Packers | BUY | 0.62 | $124.00 |