PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x51Bbc23815bf3f3Ab67e341835491017b5352cFB-1764233213611

0x51bbc23815bf3f3ab67e341835491017b5352cfb

Realised P&L
$6.81
Volume
$231.15
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$36.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31? · No0.9860.949$36.29$1.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 08:28Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31?BUY0.9859999997$37.70
07-03 16:34Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?BUY0.99$37.33
05-10 18:06Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?BUY0.9739999851$36.36
01-10 09:30Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.8599999989$31.27
01-06 18:43Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?BUY0.9931622389$31.06
12-01 11:58Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?BUY0.9869999997$19.18
11-27 09:40Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.8899999415$10.35
11-27 09:38Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?BUY0.9990000009$10.00
11-27 09:13Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?BUY0.9969999999$9.14