0x51Bbc23815bf3f3Ab67e341835491017b5352cFB-1764233213611
0x51bbc23815bf3f3ab67e341835491017b5352cfb
- Realised P&L
- $6.81
- Volume
- $231.15
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $36.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31? · No | 0.986 | 0.949 | $36.29 | −$1.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.09at 0.860Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.28at 0.890Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$0.97at 0.974Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
- +$0.38at 0.990Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?
- +$0.25at 0.987Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 08:28 | Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31? | BUY | 0.9859999997 | $37.70 |
| 07-03 16:34 | Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $37.33 |
| 05-10 18:06 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.9739999851 | $36.36 |
| 01-10 09:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999989 | $31.27 |
| 01-06 18:43 | Will Russia announce a Christmas truce? | BUY | 0.9931622389 | $31.06 |
| 12-01 11:58 | Ukraine joins NATO in 2025? | BUY | 0.9869999997 | $19.18 |
| 11-27 09:40 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.8899999415 | $10.35 |
| 11-27 09:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | BUY | 0.9990000009 | $10.00 |
| 11-27 09:13 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $9.14 |