jarinrider
0x51b90369ac31ac5e65fdfca9582bee4e3dd5f6ff
- Realised P&L
- $-40.70
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $85.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration97.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.365 | $82.56 | −$12.44 |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.050 | $2.50 | −$2.50 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 22? · Up | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 23:02 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4199999985 | $95.00 |
| 07-26 12:01 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.0031267436 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 11:51 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 22? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 11:35 | Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 11:32 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0347041471 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 11:31 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $9.00 |