zuodeshi
0x51b74fb7aad62068989e94fcfb641fe49a301755
- Realised P&L
- $-9.83
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $14.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.996 | $14.95 | −$0.04 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on November 2? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum all time high by October 31? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 12? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$236.62 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.10at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 6?
- +$49.55at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17?
- +$47.63at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 24?
- +$42.09at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 10?
- +$3.13at 0.968Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 11:52 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150? | BUY | 0.9989999345 | $15.00 |
| 08-26 14:50 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.90 |
| 07-24 08:41 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.90 |
| 06-05 08:51 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 05-28 07:42 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 05-25 07:59 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 05-17 07:39 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 05-14 10:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.00 |
| 05-10 06:33 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 05-05 08:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 04-24 02:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $94.99 |
| 04-24 02:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 04-24 02:09 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.25 |
| 04-24 02:09 | Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.17 |
| 04-17 09:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $98.81 |