dsfewf3334
0x51ad3c6aae05aedbee41645b7b7c7c010482a17c
- Realised P&L
- $-63.51
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on May 15? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on October 10? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.71 |
| Bucks vs. 76ers · Bucks | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.00at 0.500Bucks vs. 76ers
- +$20.50at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on May 15?
- +$13.63at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on October 10?
- +$13.01at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 1?
- +$2.79at 0.765Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.77 |
| 08-31 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.02 |
| 07-08 01:54 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 9? | BUY | 0.9600115702 | $23.23 |
| 07-03 02:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or below on July 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $11.61 |
| 06-22 00:44 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.955 | $8.59 |
| 06-20 02:19 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 21? | BUY | 0.988 | $15.43 |
| 06-09 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.972 | $15.43 |
| 06-04 12:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 5? | BUY | 0.988 | $10.71 |
| 05-25 00:35 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 40°C on May 26? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.21 |
| 05-20 11:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of May 18 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $8.05 |
| 05-08 00:28 | Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $10.16 |
| 04-20 06:42 | Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.76 | $8.99 |
| 02-20 13:04 | Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.9455341219 | $20.78 |
| 02-20 13:03 | Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9505659808 | $2.0k |
| 02-20 12:53 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.54 | $118.80 |