0x51Ac49eaFe1EaE35e60E5E3A39B092787A1Ce5B6-1771748825882
0x51ac49eafe1eae35e60e5e3a39b092787a1ce5b6
- Realised P&L
- $49.01
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $68.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes | 0.446 | 0.305 | $68.40 | −$31.60 |
| UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Nursulton Ruziboev | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw? · No | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? · No | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$260.00 |
| US Open WTA: Renata Zarazua vs Polina Iatcenko · Renata Zarazua | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$166.61at 0.681Will CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?
- +$93.72at 0.730Will Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC end in a draw?
- +$67.67at 0.750Will AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
- +$53.70at 0.739Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
- +$53.45at 0.740Will Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 09:41 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.4458977401 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 14:13 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | SELL | 0.93 | $47.09 |
| 09-10 15:34 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.966 | $33.31 |
| 09-10 15:22 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | SELL | 0.7711340567 | $110.16 |
| 09-07 17:21 | Will Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $50.00 |
| 09-07 17:09 | Will Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |
| 09-07 13:57 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.6999999951 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 16:18 | Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 09-06 16:08 | Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7399999876 | $50.00 |
| 09-06 15:55 | Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7492507492 | $50.00 |
| 09-05 17:25 | UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3599999977 | $50.00 |
| 09-05 06:36 | Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $260.00 |
| 09-04 13:36 | Will Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7299999989 | $150.00 |
| 09-03 14:50 | Will Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7199999997 | $250.00 |
| 08-31 16:43 | Will US Lecce vs. AS Roma end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8733216574 | $170.00 |