afoxa
0x51a8c9f36b9e40a22d3dd14c26d6b580f25449ec
- Realised P&L
- $6.75
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $16.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.44at 0.270Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$19.25at 0.310Will Trump say "Obamacare" during Ohio visit?
- +$15.54at 0.310Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$14.72at 0.599Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
- +$13.02at 0.518Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 18:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999727 | $3.91 |
| 10-13 14:09 | Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority? | BUY | 0.836199089 | $11.00 |
| 10-08 13:48 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3899999717 | $4.00 |
| 10-08 13:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 15:00 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $3.86 |
| 10-05 14:48 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.279999986 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 14:43 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.845 | $23.09 |
| 10-01 18:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6219999934 | $17.00 |
| 09-25 18:44 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $13.68 |
| 09-18 23:19 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.75 |
| 05-17 14:27 | Will Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election? | BUY | 0.1924281622 | $6.00 |
| 05-13 11:03 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.00 |
| 05-12 18:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.35 |
| 05-12 18:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999801 | $3.59 |
| 05-12 18:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999822 | $7.00 |