larrygreen
0x51a2dd8e2444ea2024c1ef55b4a66acc32d8b1f9
- Realised P&L
- $36.94
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $17.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.667 | 0.721 | $12.30 | +$0.91 |
| Will Brigid Kosgei win the 2026 Women's Chicago Marathon? · No | 0.710 | 0.625 | $4.98 | −$0.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.74at 0.300Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
- +$17.23at 0.630Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
- +$8.87at 0.450Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
- +$8.33at 0.630Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 18?
- +$0.59at 0.610Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:20 | Will Solana dip to $90 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.98 |
| 01-30 16:01 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $17.77 |
| 01-30 14:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.95 |
| 01-30 13:08 | Will Chainlink hit $21 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.71 |
| 12-30 09:49 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.15 |
| 12-30 09:42 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.78 |
| 12-30 08:52 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.05 |
| 12-30 08:35 | Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999232 | $12.73 |
| 12-29 22:28 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $52.25 |
| 12-29 21:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.62 |
| 10-30 21:25 | Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.36 |
| 10-30 20:55 | Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.02 |
| 10-30 19:17 | Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.11 |
| 09-29 18:53 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.69 |
| 09-29 18:01 | Lisa Cook arrested by September 30? | BUY | 0.99799997 | $15.85 |