PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

iwishthisworks

0x51a1571eaed4520840dfd2cd87429592e55d2335

Realised P&L
$15.30
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$143.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jovana Nogic have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · Yes0.0900.350$24.89+$18.49
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? · Yes0.1100.135$9.98+$1.85
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0900.115$8.11+$1.76
Will LeBron James be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0400.042$6.64+$0.24
MLB: Scorigami in 2026? · Yes0.0400.141$6.36+$4.55
Will Chelsea Gray have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · Yes0.0500.176$5.89+$4.22
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? · Yes0.1100.205$5.89+$2.73
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision? · Yes0.0800.125$4.95+$1.78
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026? · Yes0.0400.056$4.49+$1.28
Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0500.063$4.00+$0.80
Will Baltimore Ravens finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most special teams and defensive touchdowns? · Yes0.0400.028$3.52$1.60
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? · Yes0.0400.064$3.52+$1.30
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? · No0.1300.215$3.31+$1.31
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? · Yes0.0800.085$2.66+$0.16
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026? · Yes0.0500.074$2.61+$0.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 18:49Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?SELL0.43$3.29
07-24 18:47Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?SELL0.43$6.57
07-22 08:35Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?SELL0.0306568144$0.93
07-20 19:16Will Viggo Björck win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?SELL0.0303018046$0.97
07-16 18:50Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?SELL0.0207859079$0.46
07-16 17:50Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?SELL0.02$0.20
07-14 08:22Graham Platner charged by August 31?SELL0.032$0.98
07-09 05:55Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?SELL0.02$0.15
07-08 03:51Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Minnesota Vikings in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.023$0.70
07-07 20:05Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?SELL0.022$0.69
07-06 17:40Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?SELL0.02$0.67
06-30 22:31Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?SELL0.114$3.84