iwishthisworks
0x51a1571eaed4520840dfd2cd87429592e55d2335
- Realised P&L
- $15.30
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $143.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.19at 0.070Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?
- +$8.68at 0.110Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?
- +$1.82at 0.060Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$0.00at 0.070Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.080Will Hunter Goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 18:49 | Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30? | SELL | 0.43 | $3.29 |
| 07-24 18:47 | Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30? | SELL | 0.43 | $6.57 |
| 07-22 08:35 | Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year? | SELL | 0.0306568144 | $0.93 |
| 07-20 19:16 | Will Viggo Björck win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? | SELL | 0.0303018046 | $0.97 |
| 07-16 18:50 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? | SELL | 0.0207859079 | $0.46 |
| 07-16 17:50 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 07-14 08:22 | Graham Platner charged by August 31? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.98 |
| 07-09 05:55 | Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.15 |
| 07-08 03:51 | Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Minnesota Vikings in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.70 |
| 07-07 20:05 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.69 |
| 07-06 17:40 | Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.67 |
| 06-30 22:31 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.114 | $3.84 |