iwishthisworks
0x51a1571eaed4520840dfd2cd87429592e55d2335
- Realised P&L
- $-104.82
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $81.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.34at 0.057Will Chris Sale win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- +$18.31at 0.094Will Lionel Messi play for Argentina again in 2026?
- +$17.28at 0.080Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
- +$15.19at 0.070Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?
- +$8.68at 0.110Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:26 | Will Claudia Pina win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.85 |
| 09-15 16:59 | Will Kyler Murray win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.17 |
| 09-15 04:24 | Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.22 |
| 09-15 03:23 | Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.92 |
| 09-14 02:44 | Will Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.07 |
| 09-14 01:44 | Will Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.79 |
| 09-07 08:00 | Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? | SELL | 0.14 | $5.85 |
| 09-05 20:50 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.30 |
| 09-05 17:34 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.48 |
| 09-05 16:34 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.16 |
| 09-05 15:33 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.68 |
| 09-05 12:47 | Will DeMar DeRozan play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 09-04 14:24 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.05 | $6.61 |
| 09-03 09:44 | Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.52 |
| 09-02 06:36 | Will DeMar DeRozan play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |