estafeta
0x519de71c3f7cded2eba3949b1e0bb5cc820dfe85
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $34.7k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $234.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.065 | $234.00 | −$126.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$370.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$349.99 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.99 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 17:09 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $360.00 |
| 08-06 11:05 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.2999999995 | $370.00 |
| 08-06 11:04 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0094218176 | $54.00 |
| 08-06 10:57 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0189999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 10:57 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.033118805 | $350.00 |
| 08-06 10:57 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $300.00 |
| 08-06 10:56 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.0172066313 | $100.00 |