Honeyfd
0x519c069ad94bf21075e9ef58dbe20569176419ab
- Realised P&L
- $-18.23
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $18.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner · GamerLegion | 0.570 | 0.565 | $18.08 | −$0.16 |
| Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage · BET-M 33 | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.24 |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · Anyone's Legend | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.82 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? · No | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.03 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage · Hanwha Life Esports | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.50 |
| Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-08? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.80 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? · No | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$400.08at 0.500Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$396.80at 0.500Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$131.97at 0.500Will Cameron Norrie win the 2025 French Open?
- +$128.72at 0.500Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$28.49at 0.457Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 02:51 | Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.996 | $14.99 |
| 09-22 02:51 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.57 | $18.24 |
| 09-22 02:49 | Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.996 | $14.98 |
| 09-22 02:48 | Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.997 | $30.00 |
| 09-09 03:25 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.998 | $19.98 |
| 09-09 03:24 | Iowa State vs. Iowa: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $19.24 |
| 09-09 03:23 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 08-25 08:52 | Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage | BUY | 0.58 | $16.24 |
| 08-21 03:39 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.71 | $29.82 |
| 08-04 02:00 | Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.3 | $7.80 |
| 07-21 06:21 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage | BUY | 0.34 | $8.50 |
| 07-09 11:53 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.41 | $13.53 |
| 06-23 12:25 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.70 on June 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.00 |
| 06-23 12:23 | Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $23.63 |
| 06-08 12:18 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.996 | $42.95 |