0x518d9b57cf7e478d5863065a4ae93fbe7726bf1f
- Realised P&L
- $42.40
- Volume
- $504.15
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $44.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.365 | $12.81 | −$7.19 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.865 | $9.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.485 | $9.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.475 | $9.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.085 | $1.95 | −$18.05 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.019 | $0.40 | −$9.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.27at 0.291Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?
- +$13.12at 0.449Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?
- +$8.23at 0.564Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-13?
- +$5.54at 0.656Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?
- +$5.29at 0.667Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:09 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.87 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 19:05 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 19:00 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $51.92 |
| 09-16 17:28 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.8899999871 | $33.72 |
| 09-16 02:28 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 02:25 | Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 21:00 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 21:00 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 19:21 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 19:20 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 13:54 | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 00:30 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 00:29 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 21:12 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 21:11 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |