PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x518d9b57cf7e478d5863065a4ae93fbe7726bf1f

Realised P&L
$42.40
Volume
$504.15
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$44.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.5700.365$12.81$7.19
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? · Yes0.8700.865$9.94$0.06
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.4900.485$9.90$0.10
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18? · Yes0.4800.475$9.90$0.10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.8700.085$1.95$18.05
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.4700.019$0.40$9.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:09Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.87$20.00
09-16 19:05Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.5699999886$20.00
09-16 19:00Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?SELL0.999$51.92
09-16 17:28Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.8899999871$33.72
09-16 02:28Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.8699999904$10.00
09-16 02:25Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?BUY0.8299999967$10.00
09-15 21:00Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.4799999846$10.00
09-15 21:00Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.4899999824$10.00
09-15 19:21Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.7099999815$10.00
09-15 19:20Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.4699999944$10.00
09-15 13:54Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.5799999768$10.00
09-14 00:30Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.269999993$10.00
09-14 00:29Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.7799999891$10.00
09-13 21:12Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.629999995$10.00
09-13 21:11Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.8099999854$10.00