PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

market-watcher

0x518d8ad68f3ffab238099f23ab4e25878efa5a2c

Realised P&L
$-650.38
Volume
$90.1k
Markets traded
2,027
Open portfolio
$31.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,027
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22? · Up0.5850.036$31.19−$468.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$50.00
Will FC Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia win on 2026-09-20? · No0.6900.000$0.00−$3.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET · Down0.5200.000$0.00−$3.00
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-09-19? · No0.8140.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-19? · No0.8000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET · Up0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00−$20.00
Will RKS Rakow Czestochowa win on 2026-09-11? · No0.4750.000$0.00−$5.00
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-09-19? · No0.6400.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET · Down0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will FK Pardubice win on 2026-09-19? · No0.8500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15? · No0.7500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 16:39Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?BUY0.5850388702$500.00
09-28 15:25Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29?SELL0.49$96.24
09-28 15:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11AM ETSELL0.459357934$328.89
09-28 15:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSELL0.5647076584$194.52
09-28 15:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11AM ETSELL0.4820171674$112.31
09-28 14:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11AM ETBUY0.5268820074$500.00
09-28 13:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.2980769151$10.00
09-28 12:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.3853564547$50.00
09-28 12:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.5519779199$100.00
09-28 11:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSELL0.1981428571$41.61
09-28 11:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.4761904762$100.00
09-28 10:48Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29?BUY0.5091492102$100.00
09-28 10:47Will FK Kudrivka win on 2026-09-12?SELL0.53$3.40
09-28 10:47Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-10?SELL0.62$4.56
09-28 10:47Will Málaga CF win on 2026-10-09?SELL0.64$4.84