morkor123
0x517e5d7722c32f1ce24be5e989b86f28ca5437a0
- Realised P&L
- $-256.36
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 258
- Open portfolio
- $18.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded258
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.22at 0.510Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$16.20at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 21?
- +$13.40at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 21?
- +$13.20at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 21?
- +$12.00at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:24 | Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 10-18 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.66 | $4.47 |
| 10-18 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.8699999926 | $5.89 |
| 10-16 20:12 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 11:31 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.34 | $4.30 |
| 10-16 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 16? | SELL | 0.701 | $7.91 |
| 10-16 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.8864752033 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 22:17 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C or higher on October 12? | BUY | 0.8358208905 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.739999979 | $5.65 |
| 10-10 12:19 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.8889999941 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.0127905138 | $0.16 |
| 10-10 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 18:46 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.7165931198 | $6.04 |