kuash
0x517be68887e90a9d6e863c23e8624bdf836ffe53
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $4.12M
- Markets traded
- 380
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded380
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $440.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.105 | $315.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes | 0.245 | 0.300 | $240.00 | +$44.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.085 | $127.50 | +$22.50 |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $2.50 | −$17.50 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.82 | −$2.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$359.96at 0.063Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$275.46at 0.002Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
- +$235.46at 0.050Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$233.71at 0.022Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$130.78at 0.070Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 03:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $246.05 |
| 10-26 01:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $13.60 |
| 10-23 09:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 10-22 02:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.52 |
| 10-14 11:12 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $23.87 |
| 10-13 01:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 10-10 02:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.68 |
| 10-04 01:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.92 |
| 10-02 11:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.55 |
| 09-27 18:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.20 |
| 09-27 18:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $18.00 |
| 09-25 08:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $7.94 |
| 09-25 02:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $23.17 |
| 09-23 09:18 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.26 |
| 09-23 09:18 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.88 |