PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kuash

0x517be68887e90a9d6e863c23e8624bdf836ffe53

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$4.12M
Markets traded
380
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded380
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$440.00−$40.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.105$315.00−$15.00
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes0.2450.300$240.00+$44.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.085$127.50+$22.50
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$2.50−$17.50
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$0.82−$2.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 03:08Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$246.05
10-26 01:24Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$13.60
10-23 09:19Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$0.25
10-22 02:00Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$0.52
10-14 11:12Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$23.87
10-13 01:58Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$0.35
10-10 02:23Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$0.68
10-04 01:45Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$0.92
10-02 11:32Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$2.55
09-27 18:59Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$0.20
09-27 18:59Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$18.00
09-25 08:07Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$7.94
09-25 02:36Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$23.17
09-23 09:18Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.75$15.26
09-23 09:18Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.73$14.88