dwaaa
0x5176e704902a5e6f8b4575f2509c540dbefdf700
- Realised P&L
- $-281.87
- Volume
- $67.9k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $23.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.210 | 0.155 | $15.50 | −$5.50 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6k by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.059 | $4.76 | −$2.62 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.029 | $2.92 | −$0.74 |
| Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 9? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10AM ET · Down | 0.136 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.20 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31? · No | 0.188 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.64 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 1? · No | 0.116 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Knicks · Trail Blazers | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET · Down | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.83at 0.574Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$6.70at 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
- +$6.33at 0.240Saints vs. Panthers
- +$1.03at 0.744Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
- +$0.98at 0.670Commanders vs. Giants
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 11:46 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.21 | $6.74 |
| 10-04 11:43 | Will Ethereum hit $6k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.037 | $3.66 |
| 10-04 11:43 | Will Ethereum hit $6k by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.099 | $1.98 |
| 10-04 11:43 | Will Ethereum hit $6k by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.092 | $1.84 |
| 10-04 11:43 | Will Ethereum hit $6k by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.089 | $3.56 |
| 05-15 08:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 19:16 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $2.40 |
| 10-16 18:41 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $16.90 |
| 10-01 20:14 | Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BUY | 0.17 | $85.00 |
| 10-01 20:09 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $10.14 |
| 10-01 20:04 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | SELL | 0.871 | $513.89 |
| 10-01 14:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 10-01 14:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.2175 | $8.70 |
| 10-01 14:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5742574169 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 14:17 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.872 | $514.48 |