PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BuD

0x5173c1ab73cd0de79c39ba31654fff31d4dcc07c

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$48.1k
Markets traded
342
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded342
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7130.660$435.55$34.93
Will Uroš Medić fight Joaquin Buckley next? · No0.7800.796$275.96+$5.65
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? · No0.3980.490$218.80+$41.04
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? · Yes0.2790.405$168.70+$52.56
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.5850.645$152.91+$14.11
Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026? · No0.1510.220$145.05+$45.72
Will Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7290.655$141.84$15.95
Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026? · No0.9500.947$133.83$0.42
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3260.480$113.79+$36.62
Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026? · No0.9530.990$100.53+$3.76
Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch · No0.1920.300$63.45+$22.75
Will Max Holloway become UFC champion in 2026? · No0.9590.998$55.84+$2.16
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.8010.849$51.76+$2.90
Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026? · No0.6970.690$49.69$0.50
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6110.550$42.02$4.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:01Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.67$42.03
09-17 17:01Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?BUY0.19$11.92
09-17 15:11Will Alexander Volkov be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.926$13.29
09-16 22:55Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5399999151$2.80
09-16 22:55Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?BUY0.39$2.34
09-16 22:23Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5799999581$3.60
09-16 18:23Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?SELL0.59$115.05
09-16 18:23Will Iran target Bahrain by September 30, 2026?SELL0.5018798214$61.81
09-16 17:22Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?SELL0.6$23.40
09-16 17:22Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?SELL0.43$16.77
09-16 17:08Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.64$3.84
09-16 17:07Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?BUY0.22$1.13
09-16 17:06Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.64$21.76
09-16 17:06Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?BUY0.23$1.15
09-16 17:05Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?BUY0.23$3.75