trumpwait
0x5170add583b071fc6a4f2763c5df5459b513b032
- Realised P&L
- $-420.05
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $96.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$322.09at 0.230Set 1 Winner: Roncadelli vs Heredia
- +$225.40at 0.060Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 15?
- +$175.54at 0.330Will Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CD Tolima end in a draw?
- +$160.07at 0.112Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of January?
- +$156.75at 0.175Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on February 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 09:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 6? | BUY | 0.995 | $18.11 |
| 03-24 18:25 | Set 1 Winner: Roncadelli vs Heredia | BUY | 0.23 | $96.21 |
| 03-24 06:42 | Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 23 above $395? | BUY | 0.21 | $151.11 |
| 03-23 15:09 | Mavericks vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.17 | $23.72 |
| 03-20 04:51 | Will Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CD Tolima end in a draw? | BUY | 0.33 | $86.46 |
| 03-11 08:54 | Muchova vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.26 | $79.05 |
| 03-08 08:38 | Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-03-11? | BUY | 0.22 | $63.46 |
| 03-02 10:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 8? | BUY | 0.044 | $9.98 |
| 02-21 01:58 | Will Josephine Schlorb (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.024 | $2.72 |
| 02-20 07:38 | Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.016 | $3.21 |
| 02-19 22:44 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on February 24? | BUY | 0.038 | $8.88 |
| 02-15 02:58 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 15? | BUY | 0.06 | $9.82 |
| 02-15 01:31 | Will Tessa Thompson win Best Lead Performance at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards? | BUY | 0.019 | $2.85 |
| 02-14 20:04 | Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am? | BUY | 0.024 | $3.95 |
| 02-14 15:45 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on February 17? | BUY | 0.022 | $3.10 |