PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x517062b4e48b621cf18b5ab2ddb7a44e9c33d8b2

Realised P&L
$-46.82
Volume
$8.5k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$20.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 05:44Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 19?SELL0.23$1.77
09-18 05:44Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 18?SELL0.27$1.74
09-18 05:44Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 18?SELL0.18$1.49
09-18 05:44Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 19?SELL0.28$0.95
09-18 05:44Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 18?SELL0.11$0.88
09-18 05:43Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18?SELL0.001$0.00
09-18 05:43Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 18?SELL0.26$1.73
09-18 05:42Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18?SELL0.46$1.88
09-18 05:41Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 19?SELL0.63$4.06
09-18 05:41Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18?SELL0.61$1.55
09-18 05:40Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18?SELL0.64$4.33
09-18 05:40Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18?SELL0.61$3.05
09-18 05:39Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 18?SELL0.38$4.82
09-18 00:58Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18?BUY0.4899999584$2.00
09-18 00:55Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on September 18?SELL0.999$2.00