0x517062b4e48b621cf18b5ab2ddb7a44e9c33d8b2
- Realised P&L
- $-46.82
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $20.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 18? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.495 | $4.83 | +$0.83 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.550 | 1.000 | $3.63 | +$1.63 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 18? · No | 0.670 | 1.000 | $2.98 | +$0.98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.613 | 0.305 | $2.83 | −$2.86 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.495 | 0.275 | $2.22 | −$1.78 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.665 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 18? · No | 0.650 | 0.600 | $1.85 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.06at 0.036Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
- +$5.87at 0.375Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Sofia Johnson
- +$5.18at 0.700Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Shuai Zhang vs Gabriela Ruse
- +$4.76at 0.855Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Alexandra Eala
- +$4.27at 0.487Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lilli Tagger
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.77 |
| 09-18 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.74 |
| 09-18 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.49 |
| 09-18 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.95 |
| 09-18 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.88 |
| 09-18 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-18 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.73 |
| 09-18 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.88 |
| 09-18 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.63 | $4.06 |
| 09-18 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.55 |
| 09-18 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.64 | $4.33 |
| 09-18 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 09-18 05:39 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.38 | $4.82 |
| 09-18 00:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 00:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.00 |