m16-007
0x516d8d140b7a4d0324de7910a48a082e11b822f6
- Realised P&L
- $19.54
- Volume
- $25.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $372.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? · No | 0.987 | 0.990 | $123.68 | +$0.31 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.966 | 0.973 | $121.56 | +$0.80 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? · No | 0.976 | 0.979 | $96.90 | +$0.25 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.978 | 0.987 | $25.45 | +$0.23 |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · No | 0.979 | 0.982 | $4.91 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.47at 0.976Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- +$2.15at 0.987Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?