PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ghj6u

0x51678bac5b23c1b44c8ad222da8031720c2a7367

Realised P&L
$3.33
Volume
$10.1k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$14.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9990.999$12.99−$0.01
UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card) · Roman Kopylov0.3800.350$1.05−$0.09
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$4.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 24? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.60
Will the price of Solana be above $170 on October 26? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November? · No0.9970.000$0.00−$1.21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 16? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$3.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 15:18Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$13.00
09-27 15:17UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.38$1.14
08-05 11:35Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr?BUY0.999$14.20
06-10 01:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10?BUY0.999$97.00
06-06 03:15Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?BUY0.999$97.00
06-01 09:26Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?BUY0.9989999906$96.00
05-30 03:06Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?BUY0.9989999906$96.00
05-26 09:53Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?BUY0.9989999906$96.00
05-20 02:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?BUY0.999$96.00
05-20 02:11Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?BUY0.002$4.00
05-16 05:55Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?BUY0.999$100.80
05-13 06:44Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?BUY0.999$100.35
05-11 01:19Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?BUY0.998999991$100.00
05-07 06:39Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?BUY0.999$100.00
04-30 03:32Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?BUY0.999$94.00