ghj6u
0x51678bac5b23c1b44c8ad222da8031720c2a7367
- Realised P&L
- $3.33
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $14.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $12.99 | −$0.01 |
| UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card) · Roman Kopylov | 0.380 | 0.350 | $1.05 | −$0.09 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 24? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.60 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $170 on October 26? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November? · No | 0.997 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.21 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 16? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.59at 0.530Bills vs. Patriots
- +$2.70at 0.700Clippers vs. Lakers
- +$0.76at 0.569Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19?
- +$0.20at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 15?
- +$0.20at 0.998Iran leadership change by March 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 15:18 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 09-27 15:17 | UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.38 | $1.14 |
| 08-05 11:35 | Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.20 |
| 06-10 01:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $97.00 |
| 06-06 03:15 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $97.00 |
| 06-01 09:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1? | BUY | 0.9989999906 | $96.00 |
| 05-30 03:06 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999906 | $96.00 |
| 05-26 09:53 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999906 | $96.00 |
| 05-20 02:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $96.00 |
| 05-20 02:11 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.00 |
| 05-16 05:55 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.80 |
| 05-13 06:44 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.35 |
| 05-11 01:19 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.998999991 | $100.00 |
| 05-07 06:39 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 04-30 03:32 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $94.00 |