fanfa
0x5164290f3c8a1027dd64134143676d75d9b05bbc
- Realised P&L
- $-16.55
- Volume
- $17.7k
- Markets traded
- 433
- Open portfolio
- $39.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded433
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.45at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30?
- +$1.63at 0.380Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?
- +$1.50at 0.400Ethereum Up or Down on July 7?
- +$1.17at 0.460Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 23?
- +$1.13at 0.470Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 04:56 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.9769999331 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 04:55 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 04:55 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 04:54 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9669999996 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 04:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 08-05 04:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 08-05 04:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.993 | $29.79 |
| 07-31 04:06 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 04:06 | Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 03:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 03:19 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $89.91 |
| 07-29 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 07:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $89.91 |