PolyBot

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Traders

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0x5164290f3c8a1027dd64134143676d75d9b05bbc

Realised P&L
$-16.55
Volume
$17.7k
Markets traded
433
Open portfolio
$39.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded433
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.9990.999$29.95$0.01
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No0.9670.963$4.98$0.02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9770.973$1.99$0.01
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.9970.845$1.70$0.30
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 5? · Up0.8400.985$1.17+$0.17
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? · Up0.9200.000$0.00$2.00
XRP Up or Down on December 16? · Down0.8000.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? · Up0.8200.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down on April 10? · Down0.8200.000$0.00$1.09
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? · Up0.9000.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down on August 15? · Up0.5700.000$0.00$1.00
Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31? · Yes0.7170.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8? · Up0.5100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? · Down0.2800.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down on July 22? · Down0.7700.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 04:56Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.9769999331$2.00
08-05 04:55Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.84$1.00
08-05 04:55Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.997$2.00
08-05 04:54Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.9669999996$5.00
08-05 04:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.999$29.97
08-05 04:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?BUY0.999$24.98
08-05 04:20Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5?BUY0.993$29.79
07-31 04:06Ethereum Up or Down on July 31?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
07-31 04:06Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 31?BUY0.998$2.00
07-31 03:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 31?BUY0.999$3.00
07-31 03:19Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on July 31?BUY0.999$89.91
07-29 07:43Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
07-29 07:43Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on July 30?BUY0.994$1.00
07-29 07:42Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 30?BUY0.849999915$1.00
07-29 07:40Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 29?BUY0.999$89.91