fanfa
0x5164290f3c8a1027dd64134143676d75d9b05bbc
- Realised P&L
- $-21.38
- Volume
- $20.6k
- Markets traded
- 493
- Open portfolio
- $10.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded493
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.41at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30?
- +$1.63at 0.380Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?
- +$1.46at 0.417Ethereum Up or Down on July 7?
- +$1.32at 0.441Dogecoin Up or Down on September 15?
- +$1.15at 0.472Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 06:41 | Will Hyperliquid reach $112 in September? | BUY | 0.9979995653 | $1.80 |
| 09-29 06:38 | Trump meets with Putin by November 30? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 06:37 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 06:37 | Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 04:16 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:16 | Trump meets with Putin by September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 04:16 | Will Trump insult Xi by end of summit? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 04:15 | Will Xi leave the USA on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 04:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $79.92 |
| 09-25 04:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | SELL | 0.998 | $85.83 |
| 09-23 04:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 04:25 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 04:25 | Will Xi leave the USA on September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.9851332354 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 04:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $85.91 |
| 09-23 04:23 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.981 | $2.00 |