PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x516171014e6bc0cf5ce9b16e9afd79c7624b3c38

Realised P&L
$-41.45
Volume
$43.4k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1420.304$2.5k+$1.3k
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0420.034$336.95$85.18
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1900.205$54.80+$4.01
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0850.096$30.24+$3.24
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0480.037$19.27$5.73
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0350.025$2.21$0.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 18:43Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?BUY0.033999992$4.00
07-21 17:59Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3079999984$78.37
07-21 01:23Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.1899999973$50.79
07-21 01:21Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0820861022$12.00
07-20 21:28Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0479999982$25.00
07-20 21:28Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0879999949$15.00
07-15 21:50Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3069305011$218.97
07-15 21:49Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.58$197.93
07-14 23:07Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0377483982$115.83
07-14 22:49Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0353659601$80.65
07-14 00:08France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4049999989$96.58
07-12 12:18Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.200999995$31.14
07-11 10:31Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0459524436$34.06
07-08 19:43Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?BUY0.012$3.00
07-08 19:43Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Morocco?BUY0.0110000001$3.00