PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x515e8e9b806a388a51808e2bc5cd92dc11bbec0d

Realised P&L
$-4.9k
Volume
$77.7k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$9.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 18:30Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.982999999$637.73
09-10 18:29Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8004722673$84.76
09-09 23:47Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8409999996$250.16
09-09 19:48Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4699999995$171.98
09-09 19:46Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.48$3.09
09-09 19:46Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.48$2.2k
09-08 22:43Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9019999594$16.00
09-08 20:32Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9119999998$152.71
09-08 19:28Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.908991857$22.40
09-06 03:06Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.983562412$187.84
09-04 18:49Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9290786488$171.93
09-02 14:21US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?BUY0.9859999999$3.1k
09-02 11:15US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?BUY0.983$69.81
09-02 06:37US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?BUY0.9829999927$82.57
09-02 06:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?BUY0.9829998418$4.79