PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

favour11

0x515da46ffdd6e3180fd21be13a3307e389c136e1

Realised P&L
$-70.09
Volume
$24.5k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$14.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? · Yes0.0870.085$9.79−$0.21
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · Yes0.0560.139$4.97+$2.97
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · Yes0.0290.001$0.03−$1.97
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 13:10Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?SELL0.307$21.99
10-15 06:32Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?SELL0.001$0.02
10-14 17:44Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.0556878405$2.00
10-14 17:43Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.0289999997$2.00
10-14 17:43Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.0977207964$7.00
10-14 17:42Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.034773969$4.00
10-14 02:59Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?BUY0.0867888133$10.00
10-13 12:23Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?SELL0.1300367273$11.51
10-13 02:38Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.08$1.94
10-13 02:37Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.112999999$10.00
10-02 02:38Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-02 02:38Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$3.00
10-02 02:38Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.0829999984$2.00
10-02 02:37Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.0349999995$2.00
09-25 11:45Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.0729999981$2.00