favour11
0x515da46ffdd6e3180fd21be13a3307e389c136e1
- Realised P&L
- $-70.09
- Volume
- $24.5k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $14.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.31at 0.040Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
- +$76.31at 0.019Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
- +$42.77at 0.020Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$17.61at 0.045Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$16.48at 0.040Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 13:10 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.307 | $21.99 |
| 10-15 06:32 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-14 17:44 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0556878405 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 17:43 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0289999997 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 17:43 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0977207964 | $7.00 |
| 10-14 17:42 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.034773969 | $4.00 |
| 10-14 02:59 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.0867888133 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 12:23 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.1300367273 | $11.51 |
| 10-13 02:38 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.94 |
| 10-13 02:37 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.112999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 02:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 02:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 02:38 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.0829999984 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 02:37 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.0349999995 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 11:45 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.0729999981 | $2.00 |