0x51565e62fb1bfd558cd1df3c8becaca592b3f10d
- Realised P&L
- $183.80
- Volume
- $53.4k
- Markets traded
- 458
- Open portfolio
- $8.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded458
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.470 | 0.935 | $4.67 | +$2.32 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.640 | 0.660 | $3.29 | +$0.10 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Boston Red Sox | 0.370 | 0.045 | $0.23 | −$1.63 |
| Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) · San Diego Padres | 0.430 | 0.009 | $0.06 | −$2.58 |
| Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) · San Diego Padres | 0.570 | 0.006 | $0.03 | −$2.82 |
| Spread: San Francisco Giants (-6.5) · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.230 | 0.004 | $0.02 | −$1.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$371.96at 0.338Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
- +$289.49at 0.588Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
- +$289.16at 0.516Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
- +$249.72at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
- +$247.26at 0.281Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 05:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-15 01:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.27 | $3.23 |
| 09-15 00:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-15 00:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-15 00:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-15 00:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-15 00:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-15 00:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 09-15 00:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 09-15 00:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $2.75 |
| 09-15 00:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 00:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-15 00:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 09-15 00:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-15 00:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |