kukasistaken
0x51558e4723041ca62f640d1cb56ea94bcaf2a7dd
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $468.6k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $29.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.956Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$1.9kat 0.849EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$1.2kat 0.167UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$660.00at 0.940Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
- +$514.84at 0.674Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 14:04 | Will Mariano Navone win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.004 | $12.00 |
| 09-03 09:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.0k |
| 08-29 01:54 | UFC Fight Night: Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3799999977 | $91.00 |
| 08-29 01:53 | UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.16 | $231.00 |
| 08-24 09:06 | Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.2k |
| 08-24 00:35 | Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.4k |
| 08-09 01:14 | UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.58 | $145.00 |
| 08-09 01:02 | UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.39 | $195.00 |
| 07-24 16:16 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.879625 | $140.74 |
| 07-19 03:38 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.911 | $176.92 |
| 07-09 01:01 | UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 01:01 | UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3399999978 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 01:01 | UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 01:00 | UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 01:00 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.649999999 | $100.00 |