PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kukasistaken

0x51558e4723041ca62f640d1cb56ea94bcaf2a7dd

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$468.6k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$29.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9090.814$23.8k$2.8k
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.9500.985$3.5k+$122.37
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.9000.967$2.4k+$166.26
Will Mariano Navone win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$12.00
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$15.00
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$120.00
UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card) · Billy Quarantillo0.3900.000$0.00$195.00
UFC Fight Night: Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) · Levi Rodrigues Jr.0.3800.000$0.00$91.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$1.0k
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$120.00
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$30.00
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) · Benoît Saint Denis0.5800.000$0.00$100.00
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$30.00
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? · Yes0.7430.000$0.00$1000.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 14:04Will Mariano Navone win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.004$12.00
09-03 09:50Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$1.0k
08-29 01:54UFC Fight Night: Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.3799999977$91.00
08-29 01:53UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.16$231.00
08-24 09:06Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.9$2.2k
08-24 00:35Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.95$3.4k
08-09 01:14UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.58$145.00
08-09 01:02UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.39$195.00
07-24 16:16Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.879625$140.74
07-19 03:38Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.911$176.92
07-09 01:01UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)BUY0.7799999995$100.00
07-09 01:01UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.3399999978$100.00
07-09 01:01UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.5199999983$100.00
07-09 01:00UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.5799999979$100.00
07-09 01:00UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.649999999$100.00