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Traders

cbg

0x51471abb29dcfb36ede1d55539f69bc7984da0b7

Realised P&L
$-3.9k
Volume
$89.1k
Markets traded
173
Open portfolio
$272.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded173
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0900.055$117.23−$74.60
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1060.140$104.26+$24.90
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? · Dune 30.0600.114$51.07+$24.07
Will Falcons Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$96.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 13:03Will Falcons Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?BUY0.1299999999$96.54
10-07 19:22Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.09$191.83
08-28 14:46Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.5586239721$129.91
08-28 14:45Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.4414548982$136.54
08-28 14:45Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.478425705$147.98
08-27 16:32Will Falcons Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?BUY0.2$36.55
08-21 00:42Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.56$168.00
08-21 00:42Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?SELL0.86$182.90
08-20 13:59Will Falcons Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?BUY0.24$13.40
08-18 13:102026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.12$36.00
08-12 23:51Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group ABUY0.36$97.20
08-12 17:24Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group ABUY0.37$111.00
08-12 11:29Will Team Spirit make CS2 EWC Grand finals?BUY0.68$9.35
08-12 11:28Will Team Falcons make CS2 EWC Grand finals?BUY0.34$91.80
08-09 19:43Will Falcons Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?BUY0.23$34.98
Trader cbg · PolyBot Pro