cbg
0x51471abb29dcfb36ede1d55539f69bc7984da0b7
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $89.1k
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $272.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.055 | $117.23 | −$74.60 |
| Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.140 | $104.26 | +$24.90 |
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? · Dune 3 | 0.060 | 0.114 | $51.07 | +$24.07 |
| Will Falcons Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$517.51at 0.090Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$464.00at 0.195Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?
- +$271.27at 0.311Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
- +$237.65at 0.280Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
- +$235.18at 0.340Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 13:03 | Will Falcons Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $96.54 |
| 10-07 19:22 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.09 | $191.83 |
| 08-28 14:46 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.5586239721 | $129.91 |
| 08-28 14:45 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.4414548982 | $136.54 |
| 08-28 14:45 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.478425705 | $147.98 |
| 08-27 16:32 | Will Falcons Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $36.55 |
| 08-21 00:42 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.56 | $168.00 |
| 08-21 00:42 | Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | SELL | 0.86 | $182.90 |
| 08-20 13:59 | Will Falcons Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $13.40 |
| 08-18 13:10 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.12 | $36.00 |
| 08-12 23:51 | Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A | BUY | 0.36 | $97.20 |
| 08-12 17:24 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A | BUY | 0.37 | $111.00 |
| 08-12 11:29 | Will Team Spirit make CS2 EWC Grand finals? | BUY | 0.68 | $9.35 |
| 08-12 11:28 | Will Team Falcons make CS2 EWC Grand finals? | BUY | 0.34 | $91.80 |
| 08-09 19:43 | Will Falcons Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $34.98 |