FP001
0x51458a1172be82d1b8c77c62bb039db0418cdd71
- Realised P&L
- $-5.6k
- Volume
- $251.2k
- Markets traded
- 543
- Open portfolio
- $6.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded543
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 183.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.485 | $6.30 | −$0.32 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.359 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$370.59 |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo · Toronto Tempo | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5) · Portland Fire | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$71.13 |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.193 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.80 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.15 |
| Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 39.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.23 |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.451 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$498.94 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20? · No | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$82.10 |
| SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.71 |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) · Chicago White Sox | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$564.00 |
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5) · Connecticut Sun | 0.485 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$194.00 |
| Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) · Chicago Sky | 0.505 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$206.44 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$114.00 |
| Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$384.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.415Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury
- +$1.3kat 0.425Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5
- +$951.97at 0.619Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
- +$743.39at 0.381Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes
- +$707.11at 0.680Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 12:06 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 183.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $6.63 |
| 09-24 14:22 | Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $34.96 |
| 09-22 20:30 | Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 179.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $43.70 |
| 09-22 14:15 | Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $33.74 |
| 09-22 00:15 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.72 | $144.00 |
| 09-22 00:05 | Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.48 | $94.52 |
| 09-20 16:24 | Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 48.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $38.77 |
| 09-20 15:46 | NO vs. BAL: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $37.66 |
| 09-20 15:37 | Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $39.11 |
| 09-20 15:24 | Packers vs. Jets: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-20 14:17 | Steelers vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $38.23 |
| 09-20 14:00 | Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $29.43 |
| 09-20 13:57 | Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 13:37 | Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 37.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 09-20 12:31 | Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 39.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $29.23 |