Mastermind789
0x513ae36065ffc9b0d71db0643f1fc113cc2a3b2c
- Realised P&L
- $-46.30
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $148.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? · No | 0.388 | 1.000 | $137.68 | +$84.28 |
| Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.039 | $10.32 | −$14.68 |
| Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle? · Yes | 0.308 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yes | 0.349 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.24at 0.269US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$-5.00at 0.110Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
- +$-47.06at 0.170Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 06:08 | Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? | BUY | 0.1065754145 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 06:05 | Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? | BUY | 0.0918739837 | $20.00 |
| 05-04 06:04 | Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle? | SELL | 0.29 | $23.52 |
| 05-04 06:00 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.3492498114 | $50.00 |
| 05-04 05:59 | Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle? | BUY | 0.3082663088 | $100.00 |
| 05-01 06:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 05-01 06:32 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $163.24 |
| 04-26 07:05 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3878797329 | $53.40 |
| 04-26 07:03 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $52.94 |
| 04-25 05:02 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2692656354 | $44.00 |
| 04-25 04:55 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $43.39 |
| 04-24 01:16 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999983 | $100.00 |
| 04-24 00:55 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999986 | $100.00 |