PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5138101436a64861bFEc8a2418285bC018D04fe5-1766690813201

0x5138101436a64861bfec8a2418285bc018d04fe5

Realised P&L
$-32.3k
Volume
$1.64M
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$850.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.1110.080$850.36−$328.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.0k
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Up0.0390.000$0.00−$10.00
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27? · No0.4080.000$0.00−$710.00
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$54.35
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$50.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$160.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00−$566.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$10.00
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? · No0.0490.000$0.00−$163.41
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$9.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 15:16 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.1146545471$409.00
10-10 15:01Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?SELL0.002921136$42.89
10-10 15:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?SELL0.0083160109$336.63
10-03 21:24Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
10-03 19:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-03 19:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-03 19:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-03 19:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-03 19:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.02$1.00
10-03 19:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-03 19:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSELL0.98$66.76
10-03 19:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETBUY0.109999989$1.00
10-03 19:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.219999978$1.00
10-03 19:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-03 19:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.2599999896$5.00