0x5138101436a64861bFEc8a2418285bC018D04fe5-1766690813201
0x5138101436a64861bfec8a2418285bc018d04fe5
- Realised P&L
- $-32.3k
- Volume
- $1.64M
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $850.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.074Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$659.54at 0.138Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
- +$239.32at 0.357US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
- +$234.22at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
- +$234.18at 0.133US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 15:16 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.1146545471 | $409.00 |
| 10-10 15:01 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002921136 | $42.89 |
| 10-10 15:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.0083160109 | $336.63 |
| 10-03 21:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $66.76 |
| 10-03 19:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |