PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

03515646

0x513771b88960608a026ac762c48f698be3d6d0d1

Realised P&L
$-19.45
Volume
$22.5k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$32.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration93.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9100.955$15.74+$0.74
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9910.993$10.02+$0.02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? · Yes0.5800.580$7.00+$0.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 03:29Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?BUY0.5799999768$7.00
09-29 02:28Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.003$1.00
09-29 02:26Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.004$1.00
06-29 03:31Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
06-29 03:31Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.9099999606$15.00
05-25 06:47Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?BUY0.9989999885$80.00
05-25 06:47Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?BUY0.997999998$200.00
05-25 06:46Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?BUY0.995$10.00
05-25 06:46Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.999$10.00
05-25 06:45Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.999$10.00
05-25 06:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?BUY0.998$10.00
05-25 06:45Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.9909999993$10.00
04-10 08:36Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?BUY0.997$112.37
04-10 08:32Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?BUY0.996$199.88
04-10 08:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?BUY0.9969999269$10.00