PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5133b6c93bb544fce3c66ef611ba434d3e63babd

Realised P&L
$-648.27
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$29.43

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-16.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration94.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12PM ET · Down0.7201.000$27.94+$7.82
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.0510.010$0.59$2.44
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.0700.017$0.47$1.53
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.0350.037$0.42+$0.02
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$2.00
Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$3.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$3.04
Trump out as President by March 31? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$2.00
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$2.22
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$2.03
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · Yes0.1650.000$0.00$119.13
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$6.00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$2.00
BitBoy convicted? · Yes0.1830.000$0.00$384.35
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$126.38

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-22 21:13Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.29$2.90
03-22 20:58Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.29$2.90
03-22 20:43Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.29$2.90
03-22 20:13Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3$3.00
03-22 19:28Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.28$2.80
03-22 18:43BitBoy convicted?BUY0.283$2.83
03-22 17:43Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.27$1.35
03-22 17:23Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.29$2.90
03-22 16:22BitBoy convicted?BUY0.238$2.38
03-22 15:07BitBoy convicted?BUY0.226$2.26
03-22 14:07Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.29$2.90
03-22 13:52Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.29$2.90
03-22 13:37Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.29$2.90
03-22 13:22Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3$3.00
03-22 13:07Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3$3.00