0x51315feffea3658162c0c83b3c6b9f7828c25253
0x51315feffea3658162c0c83b3c6b9f7828c25253
- Realised P&L
- $117.82
- Volume
- $389.10
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $29.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar30.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Rei Sakamoto · Kyrian Jacquet | 0.500 | 0.595 | $10.63 | +$1.70 |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer · Adolfo Vallejo | 0.500 | 0.545 | $9.73 | +$0.80 |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · Daniel Merida Aguilar | 0.500 | 0.515 | $9.54 | +$0.28 |
| Spread: USC (-9.5) · USC | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.30 |
| Spread: New Mexico State (-3.5) · Western Kentucky | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.76 |
| China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska · Dayana Yastremska | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.31 |
| North Texas vs. Tulsa · Tulsa | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.67 |
| Florida vs. Missouri · Florida | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.67 |
| Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) · Golden State Valkyries | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.73 |
| Jingshan: Emerson Jones vs Alexandra Shubladze · Emerson Jones | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.76 |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders · Raiders | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.20 |
| Spread: Rams (-3.5) · Eagles | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.00at 0.500Steelers vs. Browns
- +$29.73at 0.500China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik
- +$28.30at 0.500Miami (FL) vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5
- +$23.91at 0.450Spread: North Texas (-2.5)
- +$18.85at 0.482Canucks vs. Oilers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 20:32 | Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | BUY | 0.65 | $14.55 |
| 10-04 20:30 | Spread: Chiefs (-4.5) | BUY | 0.45 | $13.77 |
| 10-02 04:27 | North Texas vs. Tulsa | BUY | 0.18 | $6.67 |
| 10-02 01:42 | Spread: New Mexico State (-3.5) | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 10-02 01:40 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.11 | $5.42 |
| 10-01 19:59 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.49 | $57.84 |
| 09-30 03:17 | Canucks vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.47 | $17.12 |