SNGLRT
0x511f6ff03cb0b39ee7964147b450e1f81c679511
- Realised P&L
- $-474.75
- Volume
- $701.0k
- Markets traded
- 215
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded215
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$410.57at 0.021Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$288.60at 0.601Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
- +$170.28at 0.743Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$138.21at 0.180Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
- +$89.91at 0.011Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 10:58 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-24 19:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.04 |
| 08-21 19:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.005061 | $25.31 |
| 08-04 18:50 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 11:25 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.018266478 | $12.07 |
| 07-30 12:34 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.47 |
| 07-30 12:34 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0212929363 | $54.86 |
| 07-23 19:46 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $38.44 |
| 07-12 00:45 | Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.12 |
| 07-12 00:45 | Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.008 | $14.19 |
| 07-03 21:16 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.9519999991 | $1000.00 |
| 07-02 21:17 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.946 | $1000.00 |
| 07-02 19:29 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.030541325 | $295.03 |
| 07-02 19:23 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $175.26 |
| 06-25 18:56 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | SELL | 0.42 | $126.00 |