PolyBot

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Traders

0x51196874c532a9c844936d5245F047Ad6aCb16bf-1764387842756

0x51196874c532a9c844936d5245f047ad6acb16bf

Realised P&L
$-1.30
Volume
$666.06
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$11.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration64.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 30? · Yes0.5000.595$11.90+$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 01:46Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 21?BUY0.9782608245$100.00
09-22 15:47Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 22?SELL0.7951480194$64.03
09-22 05:44Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 22?BUY0.9687020262$100.00
09-22 05:43Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 24?SELL0.0215525554$1.34
09-21 09:09Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 24?BUY0.1607142837$10.00
02-12 01:29Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY0.95$114.28
11-29 03:56Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.8699999989$98.00