0x51173BB955fc9e28B20b166f0F3759632eE24C0C-1767011992868
0x51173bb955fc9e28b20b166f0f3759632ee24c0c
- Realised P&L
- $-6.91
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $13.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.74at 0.215Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$2.81at 0.680US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$2.73at 0.206Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
- +$2.19at 0.715Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
- +$1.82at 0.527Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 19:58 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 19:55 | Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | SELL | 0.64 | $1.08 |
| 09-02 19:18 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $1.32 |
| 09-02 19:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.393 | $1.95 |
| 08-27 18:56 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.77 | $1.24 |
| 08-21 06:17 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 19:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 19:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2019998408 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 08:25 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5337549646 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 07:38 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 20:42 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 20:38 | Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 20:37 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 20:25 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 20:24 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |