PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x51173BB955fc9e28B20b166f0F3759632eE24C0C-1767011992868

0x51173bb955fc9e28b20b166f0f3759632ee24c0c

Realised P&L
$-6.91
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$13.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · No0.5000.805$8.05+$3.05
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.1200.135$1.12+$0.12
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.8800.954$1.08+$0.08
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8600.925$1.08+$0.08
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.1500.135$0.90$0.10
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.086$0.54$0.46
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.2500.125$0.50$0.50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · No0.6300.215$0.34$0.66
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? · No0.0040.000$0.00$2.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026? · No0.0410.000$0.00$1.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$1.00
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? · No0.5340.000$0.00$1.00
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$1.00
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · No0.1200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 19:58Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5$5.00
09-10 19:55Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?SELL0.64$1.08
09-02 19:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.73$1.32
09-02 19:18US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.393$1.95
08-27 18:56Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?SELL0.77$1.24
08-21 06:17Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
08-15 19:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.55$1.00
08-15 19:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2019998408$1.00
08-08 08:25Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.5337549646$1.00
08-07 07:38Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
08-04 20:42Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by August 31, 2026?BUY0.16$1.00
08-04 20:38Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
08-04 20:37Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
07-30 20:25Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
07-30 20:24Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.25$1.00