PolyBot

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Traders

parismsn

0x5111056df88e08dbb9dd08c8372e27da3fd38bc3

Realised P&L
$227.17
Volume
$47.6k
Markets traded
214
Open portfolio
$43.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded214
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.4030.275$33.00−$15.34
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? · Yes0.2700.320$6.40+$1.00
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 15, 2026? · No0.7200.725$3.63+$0.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Down0.8600.000$0.00−$100.01
Will Trump say "Hunter" or "Laptop" this week? · No0.1600.000$0.00−$3.20
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$7.00
Will anyone say "Veto" 5+ times during Big Brother E35? · No0.7200.000$0.00−$14.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET · Down0.5600.000$0.00−$55.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Down0.5400.000$0.00−$199.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Down0.5030.000$0.00−$100.00
XRP Up or Down - July 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$50.00
Solana Up or Down - July 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Down0.3160.000$0.00−$31.61
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$100.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$61.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00−$94.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 21:43Will Kennedy Center demolition be announced by October 31?SELL0.04$0.20
10-05 21:42Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 27?SELL0.03$0.15
10-05 21:42Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 27?SELL0.18$3.60
10-05 21:42Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 26?SELL0.04$0.20
10-05 21:41Will Azerbaijan win 2026-27 Nations League Group D2?SELL0.82$32.80
10-05 21:40Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?SELL0.999$125.87
09-25 13:53Will England win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.69$34.50
09-25 13:51Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.29$14.50
09-25 13:51Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?BUY0.341984127$43.09
09-25 13:46Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.71$35.50
09-25 13:43Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.68$33.99
09-25 13:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSELL0.73$44.51
09-25 13:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.4099999984$25.00
09-23 10:24Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4028571429$56.40
09-23 08:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.6199999945$25.00