ggjut--
0x51104dc9806550f0ca54b56f35854f60a7a0964f
- Realised P&L
- $95.86
- Volume
- $56.7k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $17.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes | 0.898 | 0.775 | $17.27 | −$2.73 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.43at 0.598Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.79at 0.4302024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
- +$0.17at 0.890Will Trump say "Hamas" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?
- +$0.13at 0.896No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
- +$0.09at 0.953Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 11:41 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.8979999877 | $20.00 |
| 06-29 11:32 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.5299999677 | $7.55 |
| 06-27 06:14 | Will CF Monterrey win the FIFA Club World Cup? | BUY | 0.995 | $13.25 |
| 04-14 04:26 | Will 'King of Kings' make between $15-18m on its domestic opening weekend? | BUY | 0.9969999995 | $2.11 |
| 04-14 04:26 | Will 'King of Kings' make between $21-24m on its domestic opening weekend? | BUY | 0.9929998406 | $2.00 |
| 04-14 04:26 | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BUY | 0.9929993439 | $1.30 |
| 03-20 11:03 | Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9869999986 | $3.54 |
| 03-20 11:03 | Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.993 | $10.50 |
| 02-06 06:21 | Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election? | BUY | 0.9979999926 | $10.55 |
| 02-06 06:20 | Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 01-08 07:07 | Will another company be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.60 |
| 01-08 07:07 | Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.20 |
| 01-08 07:07 | Will ECB raise interest rates in January 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.60 |
| 11-16 07:33 | Will the fight end in Round 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.27 |
| 11-16 07:32 | Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.25 |