0x510b8b02634097b3ef28b7f57f523864fc118bf7
0x510b8b02634097b3ef28b7f57f523864fc118bf7
- Realised P&L
- $-3.19
- Volume
- $243.46
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $8.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 1.000 | $4.08 | +$2.08 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.905 | $2.45 | +$0.45 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.993 | $2.01 | +$0.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.33at 0.240US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$5.94at 0.258Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$2.72at 0.430Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$2.13at 0.490Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $165 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.11at 0.492Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 05:15 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 20:14 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 22:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 10:03 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 23:34 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 17:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 09:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 12:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 01:29 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 01:00 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 14:41 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 06:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 19:44 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 11:25 | Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 08-23 10:02 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | BUY | 0.4099998462 | $1.44 |