kurapalli
0x5108e57ba11bb7b667312b373eab69cb71ff22c3
- Realised P&L
- $1.95
- Volume
- $103.65
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $13.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.170 | $4.58 | −$2.42 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.195 | $3.10 | −$3.90 |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.090 | $2.86 | −$4.14 |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? · Yes | 0.413 | 0.155 | $2.62 | −$4.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.97at 0.738Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 20:24 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998872 | $5.50 |
| 07-25 19:32 | Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | BUY | 0.4135369936 | $7.00 |
| 07-25 19:32 | US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999811 | $7.00 |
| 07-25 19:31 | US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999814 | $7.00 |
| 07-25 19:30 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999899 | $7.00 |
| 07-25 19:26 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.98 |
| 07-25 19:26 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |