Sturdy-Skunk-Metronome
0x51080fc5fdd03e83670cabbbf5b6a031878cddaa
- Realised P&L
- $15.35
- Volume
- $565.74
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $4.01
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin above 81,400 on October 20, 8AM ET? · No | 0.201 | 0.130 | $1.29 | −$0.71 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 20? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.210 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Bitcoin above 81,800 on October 20, 8AM ET? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.105 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 20? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.175 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Bitcoin above 81,200 on October 20, 7AM ET? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 20, 7AM ET? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin above 81,800 on October 20, 7AM ET? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.33at 0.120Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$2.91at 0.508Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
- +$2.81at 0.262Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$2.79at 0.518Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
- +$2.79at 0.518Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 11:01 | Bitcoin above 81,400 on October 20, 8AM ET? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 10:58 | Bitcoin above 81,800 on October 20, 8AM ET? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 10:58 | Bitcoin above 81,400 on October 20, 8AM ET? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 10:33 | Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 20, 7AM ET? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 10:14 | Bitcoin above 81,800 on October 20, 7AM ET? | SELL | 0.092 | $0.92 |
| 10-20 09:57 | Bitcoin above 81,800 on October 20, 7AM ET? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 09:57 | Bitcoin above 81,200 on October 20, 7AM ET? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 09:51 | Bitcoin above 81,800 on October 20, 6AM ET? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 10-20 09:08 | Bitcoin above 81,800 on October 20, 6AM ET? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 08:28 | Bitcoin above 81,800 on October 20, 5AM ET? | BUY | 0.0589999984 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 08:28 | Bitcoin above 81,400 on October 20, 5AM ET? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 08:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 08:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 01:30 | Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 19, 10PM ET? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 10-20 01:24 | Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 19, 10PM ET? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |