PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x5100195d561c1db6a37e5442e45b5c462a7641d2

Realised P&L
$3.11
Volume
$132.10
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$9.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:09Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 19?BUY0.4$2.00
09-17 16:01Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 19?BUY0.4$2.00
09-17 15:41Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 19?BUY0.34$2.72
09-17 15:40Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 19?BUY0.33$0.46
09-17 15:34Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 19?BUY0.09$1.08
09-17 13:01Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 19?BUY0.16$1.12
09-16 13:26Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 16?BUY0.04$1.00
09-16 13:25Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 16?BUY0.21$1.05
09-16 13:25Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 16?BUY0.57$2.85
09-15 13:11Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 15?BUY0.35$2.10
09-15 13:10Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 15?BUY0.52$3.12
09-14 02:43Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 14?BUY0.45$2.25
09-14 02:42Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14?SELL0.42$2.10
09-14 02:39Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14?BUY0.44$1.32
09-14 02:39Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14?BUY0.44$3.08