0x5100195d561c1db6a37e5442e45b5c462a7641d2
- Realised P&L
- $3.11
- Volume
- $132.10
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $9.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.46at 0.363Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 13?
- +$3.90at 0.219Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 16?
- +$3.29at 0.353Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 12?
- +$2.79at 0.535Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 15?
- +$2.48at 0.455Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 15:41 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.72 |
| 09-17 15:40 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.33 | $0.46 |
| 09-17 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 09-17 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.12 |
| 09-16 13:26 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:25 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-16 13:25 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-15 13:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.10 |
| 09-15 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.52 | $3.12 |
| 09-14 02:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 09-14 02:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-14 02:39 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.44 | $1.32 |
| 09-14 02:39 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.44 | $3.08 |