0x50fe0053fbcf08e4a9d33b5e680f1619bfa6ddfc
0x50fe0053fbcf08e4a9d33b5e680f1619bfa6ddfc
- Realised P&L
- $9.24
- Volume
- $451.33
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $4.93
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.1M and 7.2M in August? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.290 | $2.24 | +$0.62 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.495 | $1.34 | −$0.28 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.230 | $0.75 | −$0.87 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.090 | $0.61 | −$1.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$4.61at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$4.18at 0.331Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?
- +$3.65at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 00:14 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.62 |
| 09-22 16:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.62 |
| 09-22 08:08 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.1M and 7.2M in August? | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $1.62 |
| 09-19 22:46 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.62 |
| 09-19 13:18 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999841 | $1.62 |
| 09-19 05:09 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.62 |
| 09-18 20:45 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999452 | $1.62 |
| 09-17 21:49 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999322 | $1.62 |
| 09-17 13:20 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.62 |
| 09-17 03:54 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999151 | $1.62 |
| 09-13 19:46 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999812 | $1.62 |
| 09-13 04:37 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999607 | $1.62 |
| 09-12 08:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $1.62 |
| 09-11 19:59 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.62 |
| 09-09 22:38 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.5299999607 | $1.62 |