PolyBot

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Traders

mvp74

0x50f4e56a862c248f66690a2cfea33e7784375e6a

Realised P&L
$-281.84
Volume
$345.6k
Markets traded
347
Open portfolio
$4.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded347
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.1680.117$2.1k$910.84
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0770.080$1.6k+$39.01
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? · Yes0.5290.295$578.60$459.91
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2750.245$373.76$45.06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.2420.175$63.87$24.37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · Yes0.2400.120$48.00$48.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.1500.065$5.66$7.40
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? · No0.1050.055$5.50$5.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2770.161$3.24$2.35
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5410.575$2.88+$0.17
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1770.135$2.70$0.84
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.0510.013$1.35$3.75
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2230.145$0.87$0.47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.045$0.22$0.23
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$2.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:34Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.126$0.63
09-17 18:33Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.1216375$12.16
09-17 18:25Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.371$63.07
09-17 14:28Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.479$81.43
09-17 14:18Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.4288099822$81.96
09-17 13:29Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.25$8.75
09-17 13:28Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.492$4.92
09-17 13:24Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.4783256$119.58
09-17 13:22Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.552$138.00
09-17 12:49Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.47$14.00
09-17 12:48Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?SELL0.04$5.20
09-17 12:46Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?SELL0.05$8.50
09-17 05:41Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.25$20.00
09-17 05:39Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.044$22.00
09-16 17:55Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.25$7.50