mvp74
0x50f4e56a862c248f66690a2cfea33e7784375e6a
- Realised P&L
- $-281.84
- Volume
- $345.6k
- Markets traded
- 347
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded347
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.575Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$1.0kat 0.339Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$832.43at 0.531Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
- +$822.10at 0.432Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$634.11at 0.266Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:34 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.126 | $0.63 |
| 09-17 18:33 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1216375 | $12.16 |
| 09-17 18:25 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.371 | $63.07 |
| 09-17 14:28 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.479 | $81.43 |
| 09-17 14:18 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.4288099822 | $81.96 |
| 09-17 13:29 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.25 | $8.75 |
| 09-17 13:28 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.492 | $4.92 |
| 09-17 13:24 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.4783256 | $119.58 |
| 09-17 13:22 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.552 | $138.00 |
| 09-17 12:49 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.47 | $14.00 |
| 09-17 12:48 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | SELL | 0.04 | $5.20 |
| 09-17 12:46 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | SELL | 0.05 | $8.50 |
| 09-17 05:41 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 05:39 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.044 | $22.00 |
| 09-16 17:55 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.50 |