PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x50F4980C0E8F5d3d00B9ebCCd7515a1691E53784-1765227930150

0x50f4980c0e8f5d3d00b9ebccd7515a1691e53784

Realised P&L
$163.93
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$321.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar15.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration79.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? · Yes0.4681.000$320.32+$170.32
Will Trump deport 700-800k people? · Yes0.3180.014$0.69−$14.87
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$48.00
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 15, 2026? · No0.4900.000$0.00−$29.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-21 16:04US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?BUY0.4682829622$150.00
01-05 22:56Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.83$7.47
01-01 09:35Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.92$92.00
12-26 11:01Will Trump deport 700-800k people?BUY0.3400939978$14.96
12-26 10:59Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.8833746863$40.00
12-25 23:47U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?BUY0.438$2.19
12-25 22:32Will Trump deport 700-800k people?BUY0.12$0.60
12-25 15:31Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 15, 2026?BUY0.49$13.20
12-24 19:30Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?BUY0.12$47.14