arablounge
0x50e8bbc5959c26946d5e98e95b43bb32d166ac57
- Realised P&L
- $-32.00
- Volume
- $301.3k
- Markets traded
- 266
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded266
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$702.27at 0.160Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-05?
- +$669.92at 0.210Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5
- +$598.02at 0.158Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?
- +$494.80at 0.130Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
- +$465.20at 0.470Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 07:53 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $665.55 |
| 04-21 04:57 | Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | SELL | 0.977 | $15.63 |
| 04-21 03:56 | Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | SELL | 0.4 | $109.20 |
| 04-21 03:55 | Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | SELL | 0.4 | $498.40 |
| 04-21 03:53 | Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | SELL | 0.4 | $139.20 |
| 04-14 01:38 | Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | BUY | 0.4 | $746.80 |
| 04-12 18:49 | Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts | BUY | 0.48 | $972.00 |
| 04-12 18:21 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $665.55 |
| 04-12 09:46 | Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $344.25 |
| 04-12 08:56 | Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30? | SELL | 0.76 | $59.28 |
| 04-12 08:54 | Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30? | SELL | 0.76 | $36.48 |
| 04-12 08:44 | US bank failure by June 30? | SELL | 0.72 | $448.56 |
| 04-12 08:25 | Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05? | SELL | 0.61 | $284.87 |
| 04-12 08:24 | Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05? | SELL | 0.61 | $40.26 |
| 04-12 08:20 | Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05? | SELL | 0.61 | $380.64 |