PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

arablounge

0x50e8bbc5959c26946d5e98e95b43bb32d166ac57

Realised P&L
$-32.00
Volume
$301.3k
Markets traded
266
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded266
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31? · No0.9991.000$1.4k+$1.38
Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts · Western Carolina Catamounts0.4800.500$1.0k+$40.50
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? · No0.9991.000$382.00+$0.38
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals · Lamar Cardinals0.8791.000$338.00+$40.97
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7420.175$132.15$426.57
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? · Yes0.6901.000$78.00+$24.18
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · No0.7501.000$28.00+$7.00
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? · No0.7301.000$8.00+$2.16
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? · No0.9730.997$1.00+$0.02
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? · No0.9680.965$0.96$0.00
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2200.065$0.07$0.15
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$7.48
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16? · No0.8200.000$0.00$37.72
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W) · South Carolina State Bulldogs0.7900.000$0.00$524.56
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 26 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000? · No0.5900.000$0.00$160.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 07:53Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$665.55
04-21 04:57Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?SELL0.977$15.63
04-21 03:56Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?SELL0.4$109.20
04-21 03:55Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?SELL0.4$498.40
04-21 03:53Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?SELL0.4$139.20
04-14 01:38Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?BUY0.4$746.80
04-12 18:49Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina CatamountsBUY0.48$972.00
04-12 18:21Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.85$665.55
04-12 09:46Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.81$344.25
04-12 08:56Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?SELL0.76$59.28
04-12 08:54Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?SELL0.76$36.48
04-12 08:44US bank failure by June 30?SELL0.72$448.56
04-12 08:25Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?SELL0.61$284.87
04-12 08:24Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?SELL0.61$40.26
04-12 08:20Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?SELL0.61$380.64