poly0xd41
0x50e53a797b6b889c5bbe19fcc7bd7f9eb9ede39f
- Realised P&L
- $59.0k
- Volume
- $3.79M
- Markets traded
- 8,376
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded8,376
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.6kat 0.607Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$44.7kat 0.104Will Everton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
- +$30.4kat 0.382T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)
- +$20.9kat 0.353T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)
- +$7.3kat 0.510Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 20:36 | Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8 | $7.20 |
| 10-12 20:36 | Will Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 10-12 20:34 | Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.76 | $17.48 |
| 10-12 20:33 | FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 10-12 20:32 | Exact Score: Coventry City FC 3 - 1 Newcastle United FC? | BUY | 0.121 | $8.47 |
| 10-12 20:30 | Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.58 | $27.52 |
| 10-12 20:30 | Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.005 | $9.97 |
| 10-12 20:30 | Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 20:29 | Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.05 | $1.30 |
| 10-12 20:29 | Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6099999956 | $49.60 |
| 10-12 20:28 | Will Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.27 | $31.32 |
| 10-12 20:27 | Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.85 | $41.65 |
| 10-12 20:27 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.25 | $13.50 |
| 10-12 20:27 | Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3346329903 | $12.47 |
| 10-12 20:26 | Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.992 | $3.04 |