0x50dE5234B760D49710113219c856ec339Dfd9798-1783040786580
0x50de5234b760d49710113219c856ec339dfd9798
- Realised P&L
- $-12.75
- Volume
- $902.67
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $2.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? · Yes | 0.466 | 0.235 | $1.89 | −$1.86 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-07 House seat? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.070 | $0.70 | −$0.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.34 |
| Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Up | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Up | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.33at 0.169Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
- +$5.81at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
- +$5.66at 0.669Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
- +$3.45at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
- +$3.00at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 15:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 15:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $11.04 |
| 07-03 15:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 12:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 12:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 12:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 12:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 12:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 12:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 12:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 12:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 12:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | SELL | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 07-03 12:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 12:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $3.28 |
| 07-03 12:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |