0x50D80f6EDF998FA4B3982DC449Fc6c5565E3d896-1773770203770
0x50d80f6edf998fa4b3982dc449fc6c5565e3d896
- Realised P&L
- $326.62
- Volume
- $74.7k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $18.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.528 | 0.675 | $11.3k | +$2.5k |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No | 0.630 | 0.445 | $3.5k | −$1.5k |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.195 | $1.8k | +$328.02 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.155 | $1.7k | +$160.71 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.004 | $24.09 | −$475.88 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.004 | $15.95 | −$895.22 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.001 | $2.90 | −$461.56 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? · Yes | 0.583 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$320.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$598.41at 0.479Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
- +$577.14at 0.539Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?
- +$551.68at 0.457Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
- +$391.60at 0.560Will England win on 2026-06-17?
- +$391.56at 0.548Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 12:40 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.5399999994 | $835.32 |
| 08-22 12:38 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.54 | $3.0k |
| 06-15 11:18 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.6199999994 | $300.00 |
| 04-15 18:55 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | BUY | 0.6299999994 | $244.45 |
| 04-15 18:54 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | BUY | 0.63 | $342.23 |
| 04-14 18:31 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | BUY | 0.3699999992 | $192.44 |
| 04-14 18:31 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | BUY | 0.5499999997 | $243.25 |
| 04-08 18:31 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | BUY | 0.5299999995 | $194.36 |
| 04-08 18:31 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? | BUY | 0.6499999992 | $195.80 |
| 04-08 18:30 | FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5099999997 | $194.12 |
| 04-08 18:30 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6199999991 | $195.44 |
| 04-07 15:20 | Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $145.50 |
| 04-07 15:19 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07? | BUY | 0.5299999997 | $340.13 |
| 04-07 15:18 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? | BUY | 0.4099999994 | $241.15 |
| 03-17 23:36 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18? | BUY | 0.7299999995 | $300.00 |