0x50D80f6EDF998FA4B3982DC449Fc6c5565E3d896-1773770203770
0x50d80f6edf998fa4b3982dc449fc6c5565e3d896
- Realised P&L
- $-525.84
- Volume
- $39.6k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.519 | 0.515 | $5.0k | −$38.58 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.101 | $605.39 | +$105.42 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.018 | $79.73 | −$831.44 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.004 | $26.13 | −$438.33 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$346.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$391.60at 0.560Will England win on 2026-06-17?
- +$353.39at 0.410Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
- +$334.10at 0.370Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
- +$312.82at 0.390Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?
- +$306.00at 0.530Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 11:18 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.6199999994 | $300.00 |
| 04-15 18:55 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | BUY | 0.6299999994 | $244.45 |
| 04-15 18:54 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | BUY | 0.63 | $342.23 |
| 04-14 18:31 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | BUY | 0.3699999992 | $192.44 |
| 04-14 18:31 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | BUY | 0.5499999997 | $243.25 |
| 04-08 18:31 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | BUY | 0.5299999995 | $194.36 |
| 04-08 18:31 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? | BUY | 0.6499999992 | $195.80 |
| 04-08 18:30 | FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5099999997 | $194.12 |
| 04-08 18:30 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6199999991 | $195.44 |
| 04-07 15:20 | Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $145.50 |
| 04-07 15:19 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07? | BUY | 0.5299999997 | $340.13 |
| 04-07 15:18 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? | BUY | 0.4099999994 | $241.15 |
| 03-17 23:36 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18? | BUY | 0.7299999995 | $300.00 |
| 03-17 23:35 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18? | BUY | 0.38 | $100.62 |
| 03-17 18:49 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $200.00 |